Lithium is the lightest metal and widely applied in the sectors such as battery, ceramics, glass, aluminum, lubricant and refrigerating agent, as well as the nuclear and photoelectric, and the lithium carbonate is the basic material for the production of lithium metal.

China is one of the countries with the largest lithium reserves in the world. China’s proven lithium reserves (convert into pure lithium) have reached 3.35 million tons, ranking the 3rd place in the world in terms of salt lake brine lithium reserves , and the fourth place in terms of lithium ore resources. And China’s prospective reserves of lithium resource are more substantial.

The same as the year of 2007, in the world, the sectors consumed the most of lithium carbonate in 2008 were battery, lubricant, ceramics and glass, with a proportion of 27%, 12%, 9% and 8% respectively, while the proportion in 2007 was 25%, 12%, 10% and 8% respectively. The lithium carbonate consumption by the battery sector has further increased, while the consumption was a bit down by the traditional sectors like ceramics.

By the end of 2008, the global lithium carbonate demand was 95,400 tons, up 2.9% year on year, and the CAGR for global lithium carbonate demand in the past ten years was over 7%. Chile, China and Argentina were the top three countries in terms of lithium carbonate production capacity, and they were together satisfied 94% of global lithium carbonate demand. Especially the China, its global market share increased to 26% in 2007 from 21% in 2006, but the figure declined to 24% in 2008 as a result of natural disasters.

China’s demand for lithium carbonate has also grown rapidly. Starting from 2008, China entered a releasing period of lithium carbonate productions. It is expected that China’s lithium carbonate output will reach 45,000 tons and its designed production capacity will surpass 60,000 tons by 2010.

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The economic rebound in the first quarter of 2009 was mainly due to LCD TV. The economic recession of Europe and America will only make consumers reduce the consumption on such necessities in the late phase. Although Europe and America suffered economic recession, the market shares of LCD TV did not fluctuate much because of manufacturers’ promotion strategies, WON depreciation and further development of LCD TV in the first quarter of 2009. With the push of China and other emerging countries, the market rebounded significantly. Japanese enterprises were panicked and reduced production greatly when economic recession arose, resulting in short supply. This strong rebound was still lack of powerful support, especially in emerging countries. In China, when the property market begins to rebound, real estate sales will promote the consumption on home appliances. In the mid and late rebound phase of the property market, consumers will wait and see, and real estate sales will decline, so that home appliances consumption will also drop. The unemployment rate is still rising in Europe and America and economic recession has not ended, so if consumers are aware of the fact, they will certainly cut expenditure.

From Q1 2005 to Q4 2010, the fluctuation of TFT-LCD industry seems to be magnified, but the fact is not. The global economy has experienced the most significant recession since the Great Depression in 1929. TFT-LCD industry is the upstream of consumer electronics and IT industry, and the two industries always follow the trend of the global economy. Excluding external factors, the fluctuation of TFT-LCD industry is lessened, especially the extent of decline shrinks, which is because LCD TVs develop rapidly, IT industry is relatively stable and notebook computers develop well. Before 2000, 80% of TFT-LCDs were used in notebooks, thus on which TFT-LCD industry was highly dependent, and then TFT-LCD industry fluctuated a lot. In the future, LCD TV industry, Netbook industry and LED notebook industry will enter the mature stage, which will make TFT-LCD industry tend to fluctuate less, but on the other hand, the industry will lack growth momentum.

TFT-LCD industry relies heavily on upstream raw materials and components. In the cost structure of TFT-LCD, upstream components account for 70-85%. Therefore, to be cost-efficient shall be supported by the strong upstream, but for Chinese enterprises, it is hard to do so. In many Chinese enterprises, including joint ventures, profit is often transferred to the upstream. In addition to glass substrates, Taiwan has nearly all of upstream industrial chains, which is the biggest driver for Taiwan’s success in TFT-LCD industry. TFT-LCD industry can prompt a huge industrial chain. Japanese manufacturers occupy the top position in the industrial chain, and they usually sell their technology rather than products. Almost every Taiwanese manufacturer in the upstream industrial chain has received technical support from Japan, so do South Korea manufacturers. Taiwanese manufacturers’ success lies in fast access to market through technology licensing, while Japanese manufacturers rely on supporting Taiwanese enterprises to combat South Korea rivals. Japanese manufacturers still master the upstream firmly.

Upstream components include Glass Substrate, Color Filter, Polarizer, Backlight Module, Driver IC, CCFL Lamp and LED.

As for non-key components, these companies have adequate resources, especially AUO and Chimei. Mainland China enterprises invest on the middle and downstream which brings production value fastest, but they neglect the efficiency and quality of the investment, and thus lack cost competitiveness.

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Over 95% DTVs are FPTVs, therefore this research including the DTV.

The shipment of FPTV in 2008 was 124 million, of which, the LCD TV shipment was 109 million, and the plasma TV shipment was 15 million. The industry chain of FPTV includes raw material suppliers, OEMs or ODMs and FPTV manufacturers. Among which, IC suppliers and panel suppliers are the key players.

The ranking of global FPTV manufacturers in terms of shipment is as following: Samsung, Sony, LG, Panasonic, Sharp, Philips, Toshiba, Hitachi, TCL Multimedia and Vizio. Samsung launched a 7th-generation panel production line and two 8th-generation panel production lines together with Sony and Sharp, moreover, Samsung also planned to launch a 10th-generation panel production line together with Sony and Sharp, however, the plan is about to delay. Sony only plays a simple role as the investors regarding those corporations mentioned, Sony has a power over financial issues, and the rest are all controlled by Samsung.

LG Display owns a 7th- generation production line and a 8th-generation production line, while Sharp owns a 8th-generation production line. Panasonic, Hitachi and Toshiba jointly own a 6th-generation production line. Besides, Panasonic has the world’s largest plasma display panel production line. Philips also owns a few shares of LG Display.

There are three major suppliers of LCD TV panel in Taiwan are AUO, Chimei and CPTF. The production scale of AUO is similar to Chimei, while CPTF has a smaller scale. LCD TV manufacturers often have a couple of panel suppliers in order to avoid the risks. The clients of CPTF including Samsung, LG, Funai, and AOC. Chimei has the strongest client base, including all of the top ten LCD TV manufacturers except Sharp, among which, Samsung and Sony are the most important two clients. The clients of AUO including Samsung, Sony, Philips, and LG. The clients of LG Display are Philips, LG, Panasonic and Toshiba. Sharp also sells some panels to Philips.

In terms of FPTV OEM, about 25% FPTVs are produced by OEM in the world. The proportion may expand to 35-40% with the increasing of cost pressure in the future. All non TV players relies on OEM 100%, including Westinghouse, Lenovo, Tongfang, ViewSonic, Dell, BenQ, etc. 60% is for Philips, the proportion may reach 100% in the future. The proportion of others is: LG (10%, which may expand to 20% in the future), Sony (20%, which may expand 40% in the future), Sharp (10%), and Toshiba (40%). While Samsung and Panasonic relies on themselves 100%. In 2008, the ranking of OEMs in terms of shipment was AOC, Proview, Amtran, Wistron, Funai, Jabil and Kolin.

In terms of IC, MediaTek and Trident were the major suppliers of Samsung in 2007. Trident targets the medium- and low-end market, while MediaTek targets the high-end market. At the end of 2007, Samsung started its self-developed IC for its medium- and high-end products. Though the scale was small, it also had an impact on MediaTek and Trident, especially the sales of Trident declined nearly 50%, and Samsung will further strengthen its independent R&D. Sonly has five IC suppliers, including Broadcom(AMD), NXP, Trident, MediaTek and NEC, of which, Trident and NEC are the majors. .

Panasonic and Sharp are both have self-developed IC, while Philips much relies on ST (GENESIS). Toshiba relies on ST and Sharp, and develops high-end products together with Sharp. Although its shipment is small, Hitachi still insists on self-development. Chinese manufacturers rely on Trident in the early stage, but tended to Morningstar considering the cheaper price in the second half of 2006. And Morningstar shared 70% of Chinese market, focusing on the medium- and low-end market. While in the high-end market, the major players are ST and MediaTek.

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The year of 2008 saw the exchange of roles between plastic and metal. The plastic players enjoyed a lower cost of raw materials than MgAl players due to their cost cut in advance considering the decline of plastic case market in 2007. In contrast, metal case producers still enjoined their dream of the growth from previous years but actually recorded a decline in 2008.

Laptop Case Market

The output value of MgAl alloy dropped somewhat in recent two years, which is mainly attributable to the following.

(1) MgAl alloy mainly applied in commercial laptops and medium- and high-end laptops, the sales performance of those is not considerable.

(2) The price gap to plastic case

Besides, positives are composed of that the prices of Mgnesium and Aluminum sharply dropped; the more popular products like Netbook needs the addition of MgAl alloy slices as the support to A-side plastic in order to satisfying intensity; the heat dissipation of MgAl alloy meets the demand of UCLV super-low voltage platform; Occidental vendors still prefer MgAl alloy case for their high-end products.

Mobile Phone Case Market

In 2008, mobile phone metal case and structure market shrank to a great extent. On the one hand, the sales of Motorola dropped drastically from 160 million handsets to 100 million handsets; on the other hand, 3G iphone of Apple transferred to plastic case from metal case considering the realize of GPS function. Nevertheless, the shipment of mobile phones with metal case of Samsung, Nokia, LG and SonyEricsson were all increased.

In 2009, mobile phone market tends to drop as a whole; the high-end handset will see a greater drop; and the cost competition will be more intense. Furthermore, Motorola, the main client of metal case, will not shrug off the predicament.

Till 2010, after the inconsistency of GPS with metal case gets resolved, such vendors like Apple will transfer back to metal case, and Motorola will resume as well. It is expected that RIM will also join the metal case by then. In this sense, the metal case market after 2010 will be expanding.

After its being acquired by Liteon, the profit of Perlos increased in spite of a sales drop. The operating profit margin of Perlos in 2007Q1 (before the acquisition) was negatively 2.3%, while the figure was up to 6.7% in 2008Q3. After being purchased by Jabil, Green Point endeavored to develop new clients, and sharply increased its shipment to Nokia, which has made up the decline of Motorola. Moreover, the South Korean players like the Intops, P&TEL, SHINYANG, CHAARMTECH, YUSUNG, JINWON, JYSLOUTEC, MOTIS and KH-VATEC were all achieved a considerable performance in 2008 driven by Samsung and LG. In contrast, counterparts from Mainland China were all in price war and achieved little profit. However, a bad profit for Chinese players due to the price war.

Digital Camera Case Market

Canon and Sony persist in their own production. There are only few of independent Digital cameral case and structure manufacturers. Along with the appreciation of Japanese Yen and increasing cost pressure, the outsourcing proportion will be expanding in 2009. Considering the digital camera OEM, there are four giants are Foxconn (Premier), Altek, Canon and Asia-Optical. Foxconn is capable of self-producing case and structure. Canon and Asia-Optical made invested the YORKEY, which focus on the production of plastic case and structure. Asus and Canon invested the AVY Precision Technology, which focus on the production of metal case and structure. Nowadays, AVY has ranked the first in the world with a share over 50%.

TV Case Market

Most of TV manufacturers are capable of self-producing TV cases. However, considering the LCD TV emphasizes its appearance, for some state-of-the-art technologies, the independent case suppliers are more specialized in, for example the Echom Science & Technology Co., Ltd and Taoshi Mould Group in China.

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“Supposing the LED industry keeps developing at the current speed, the LED will be in line with the traditional light source level in 2014. The cost of the light source only takes up very small proportion of automotive headlight. If the automotive LED headlamp has the same illuminating effect as the headlamp made of the traditional light source, their cost gap won’t be more than 10%. Currently the LED headlamp cost is 30% higher and even two times of the HID headlamp, and the mainstream cars are against such a big cost difference.

Besides increasing the LED luminous efficiency and lowering the average illumination cost, it is also very necessary to solve the heat dissipation problem. The optical fiber-distributed lighting might be the best choice. If the technique of such lighting pattern achieves its maturity, the LED headlamp can be equipped into the low-temperature trunk instead of the vicinity of the high-temperature engine. Only an LED module is needed in the trunk, and then the optical fiber can transmit the light to every reachable area, which perfectly simplifies the design and minimizes the volume of the auto lamp. Though the current commonly-used heat pipe and fan can also dissipate the heat, they are with the high cost and complicated design.

From 2008 to 2013, the auto headlight manufacturing will remain the slow development. It is forecast that it will see the fast improvement in 2014. 50% high-mount brake lamps were made of LED in 2008 and this proportion will reach 100% in the future; 10% steering lamps were made of LED in 2008 and this proportion will reach 50% in 2015; only 10% width lamps were made of LED and this proportion will reach 30% in the future. In spite of huge market room, the price competition is quite intense and the price would fall by a big margin, hereby the market growing ability is not strong enough.

The global automobile industry has very clear group division. The German group and the Japanese group have built the vertical supplying system for years and the companies from other countries hardly have opportunities to participate in this system. The American automakers keep not so close a relationship with the suppliers, so other automakers still have certain chances. The Japanese auto market is monopolized by the three lighting companies, namely, Koito, Ichikoh and Stanley. Nissan has long-term partnership with Renault, so it also purchases the lamps from Valeo. In addition, the American automakers have numerous suppliers like Delphi, Visteon, HELLA and Stanley etc. The German automakers’ suppliers consist mainly of HELLA and AL. The French automakers undoubtedly choose their local company Valeo as the supplier. Similarly, Italy chooses AL, which is affiliated to the Italian FIAT Corporation. The South Korean suppliers contain Mobis and Sunlush.

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“The recession of global automotive industry contrasts with the prosperity of China automotive industry. In Jan.-Apr.2009, China’s auto output was 3.725 million sets, by an increase of 6.4%; sales volume 3,832,000, up 9.4%; sale/output ratio was up 2.55 points to 102.6%. As for models, the output and sale of passenger cars were 2,692,900 and 2,826,700 respectively, up 9.75% and 15.09% year-on-year, and the sale/output ratio increased 4.87 points to 104.97%. The output and sale of commercial vehicles were 1,031,900 and 1,005,200, down 1.46% and 3.86%, and the sale/output ratio dropped 2.43 points to 97.41%.

National economic stimulation policies continued to exert effects in April. Like March, the output and sale of automobiles in April set new records again, and the cumulative growth margin further expanded. The auto models that accounted for 52% of total sale and benefited from the favorable tax policy maintained stable growth rate in production and sale. The medium and high-end sedans began to revive. The output and sale of commercial vehicles did not fall sharply as before. The overall auto industry recovers. In fact, the automotive market in Mainland China has just begun to emerge, so the continuous high growth in this industry will be sustainable.

Automotive audio industry has already been a very mature industry. German, South Korean and Japanese automakers have their own specific parts and components providers with the cooperative relations of 30 years or 50 years, so it is very difficult for other suppliers to enter the industry. American automobile manufacturers emphasize cost, leaving potential opportunities for Chinese enterprises. The three major German automotive audio manufacturers — Becker, Blaupunkt and Continental (Siemens VDO) almost monopolize the German market. Toshiba, Fujitsu Ten, Alpine, Pioneer, Clarion, JVC Kenwood monopolize the Japanese market. Hyundai Mobis and Hyundai Autonet are about to merge, and both of them monopolize the South Korean market. American market is monopolized by the giants — Visteon and Delphi.

Automotive Infotainment System is the combination of automotive information system and entertainment system. Automotive information system mainly refers to navigation system, Telematics system and communication system. In 2008, the market valued approximately US$18.7 billion and after-market US$ 6.5 billion.

Becker, Blaupunkt and Continental (Siemens VDO) almost monopolize the German market. In Japan, Toyota cooperates with AisinAW and Denso; Honda gets supply from Denso, Pioneer and Alpine; Nissan depends on Clarion, Alpine and Panasonic. American automakers have more suppliers than any others, including Becker, Blaupunkt, Continental (Siemens VDO), Denso, Alpine, Panasonic, Aisin Seiki, Clarion. Ford also has a lot of suppliers. Hyundai gets supply from Hyundai Autonet. PSA and Fiat mainly cooperate with Blaupunkt and Magneti-Marelli.

By types, Chinese auto audio and infotainment manufacturers can be divided into joint ventures, wholly foreign-owned enterprises and local enterprises. By product, manufacturers can be divided into head-unit enterprises, navigation enterprises and electro-acoustic enterprises. By value, sole proprietorship enterprises account for about 50%, joint ventures 40%, local enterprises 10%. Of total output value, head-unit enterprises occupy 65%; navigation enterprises 10%; and electro-acoustic enterprises 25%. Local enterprises focus on electro-acoustic field.

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The global tire market scale was about US $130 billion in 2008. According to the application, the tire can be divided into three categories: the non heavy-duty tires for passenger cars and light trucks, the heavy-duty tires for heavy vehicles and the tires for two-wheel vehicle, agricultural machinery, OTR and etc. The market share for the above mentioned three categories were 59%, 28% and 13% respectively in 2008. In addition, the tire market can be divided into OE (Original Equipment) market and RT (Replacement) market. In 2008, taking none heavy-duty tire market as a whole, 25% was shared by OE and 75% by RT, and taking the heavy-duty tire market as a whole, 21% was shared by OE and 79% by RT.

Global tire OE market was seriously impacted by the financial crisis, while tire RT market had a small impact benefited from its rigid demands. Therefore, the global tire market still achieved a slight growth in 2008, and the year of 2009 is expected to be equal driven by Chinese tire OE market.

With the slight leading advantage, Bridgestone ranked at the first, and Michelin tightly followed. Goodyear extended its gap to the previous two due to the shrink of its North America market. Continental remained its considerable performance in the European high-end passenger car market; however, a disappointment in Chinese market. Pirelli maintained its top position in the markets of South Europe, North Africa, Mid East and Latin America. Sumitomo Rubber also maintained its leading position in Japanese high-end market, especially the high-end SUVs; HANKOOK was one of the outstanding players who maintained continue rapid growth; it had a good performance in the OE market. Similar to HANKOOK, KUMHO also had a good performance in OE market, particular in China, but with lower price. Yokohama mainly targeted at Japanese RT market. COOPER also focused on the RT market, due to its high market channel cost and high business ratio in North America, its performance was not considerable. Cheng Shin targeted at Chinese market and had a good performance in the two-wheel vehicle market. AS one of members of Nokia Group, Nokian is well known for snow tires, and it enjoys the highest profit. MRF and Apollo Tires are both from India; MRF is mainly relying on export with low price strategy, while Apollo is just the opposite.

As the world’s largest tire production base, China had produced 546.14 million tires in 2008, up 6.7% of last year. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, up to Feb, 2009, there are 577 tire manufacturers in china. Chinese tire industry is having a comparatively low concentration degree, and the competition is relatively in disorder. The market share of the top three tire manufacturers in the world was together over 50%, and the share for the top ten was together 72.52%, while the market share of top ten was together less than 40% in China. In 2008, the proportion of radial tire reached 75% in China, but different for various sectors: 99.9% for passenger car tires, 75.8% for heavy-duty tire, 16.5% for engineering tire and nearly 0 for agricultural tires.

Although Chinese car market started recovering in 2009, but still difficult for Chinese domestic tire manufacturers, considering the passenger car OE market was still monopolized by foreign brands and lack of the competiveness in the radial tire market. GITI and Cheng Shin had better performance. GITI locally supplying Chery, Jianghuai and Soueast; Based on the cooperation with Toyo, Cheng Shin had obtained the OE market of Ford Focus.

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China has become a manufacturing center of aluminum automotive wheels in the world now. The export of wheels mainly focuses on the retail market. In the recent years, many foreign OEMs have begun to purchase aluminum automotive wheels directly from China because:

In the cost structure of Chinese aluminum automotive wheels, raw materials account for 55%-60% of the total cost, and labor cost takes 4%-5%. For developed countries, raw materials account for 50%, and labor cost takes 15%-20%. Therefore, China has competitive advantages in labor cost. At present, the average profit margin of foreign automotive aluminum alloy industry has fallen to 2%, so there is no possibility for the decline of selling price. In order to control the cost, international automobile giants have begun to purchase from China aluminum automotive wheels with price advantage or set up joint ventures in China. Japanese manufacturers have already established joint ventures in China.

China also has advantage in upstream resources, but the advantage is reflected in the quantity of alumina manufacturers instead of rich bauxite resources. The competition in the prices of alumina is fierce. After breaking the monopoly of Chinalco, private alumina factories emerged everywhere. To the aluminum wheel industry, raw material cost is the most important factor, in which Chinese manufacturers have advantage. Roaring alumina prices in 2008 made many manufacturers suffer losses. Although alumina price decreased in the second half of 2008, it was kept stable with a slight increase after major manufacturers made efforts to reduce output.

China’s output of aluminum automotive wheels rises rapidly. In 2001, China exported 3.5 million aluminum automotive wheels; in 2003, nearly 10 million; in 2008, 35 million, 10 times that in 2001. China produced 35 million aluminum automotive wheels in 2008, of which 30 million ones were for OEM sale, 1.5 million for inventory, and 1.5 million for after-market. Aluminum-alloy motorcycle wheel industry is an important branch of China’s aluminum wheel industry, with the annual output of 15-20 million.

Prosperous automobile industry stimulates a number of cities and enterprises to start aluminum wheel projects. In Baotou, Chongqing, Xining, Luoyang, Fushun, Zunhua, Guangyuan, Yuncheng, Kangping, Tongliao, Baise, Shenyang, Jiamusi, Peixian, Baiyin, Xuzhou and Wenchuan, aluminum wheel projects with the investment of RMB in millions have been under preparation or construction. In fact, aluminum wheels are applied to 68% of passenger cars in the world, so the development space for aluminum wheel hubs is limited. Majority of small Chinese enterprises rely on the after-markets of Europe and America, which get inflicted seriously by the economic crisis. As for the field of OEM, it is hard to enter, and requires efforts and funds for continuous years.

Although China has nearly 100 aluminum wheel manufacturers, but few of them have real strength. In China, large aluminum wheel manufacturers are generally supported by foreign investors. Manufacturers funded by Taiwan investors are mostly export-oriented, with the export mainly to Japan, and usually Japanese investors have their shares, for example, Toyota holds shares of Lioho Machinery. Manufacturers funded by Hong Kong investors often cooperate with larger enterprises, aiming at OEM market. Large-scale local enterprises also target OEM market, while small enterprises are engaged in after-market. Citic Dicastal is backed up by the super-large enterprise — CITIC Group, so it has no difficulty in gathering capital and it has the courage to invest in large scale, which is the key to its success. Besides, Citic Dicastal started to work in aluminum wheel industry earlier than others. Wanfeng Auto is also a pioneer in the industry and was first listed in 2006, and its development depends on financing. Jinfei Machinery is an enterprise restructured from a state-owned enterprise with adequate fund, and motorcycle wheel business takes a large proportion of its business. Jinfei Machinery has set up joint ventures with Indian manufacturers. In the initial phase of 2001, Huatai was supported by foreign investors, who held 60% shares of the first Huatai factory in Shenzhen. At present, Huatai has branches all over China, even merges and acquires foreign production lines directly. Lizhong Wheel is listed in Singapore, depending on Lizhong Group that has aluminum mines, and it has great development potential. Zhongnan Aluminum Wheel enjoys technology strength and cooperates with Japanese investors to produce products with good quality. Fucheng aims at export. Mingqi mainly cooperates with BYD. Jingyuan Heavy Duty Machinery is backed up by the largest tire enterprise — GITI Tire Group. Shanghai Youfa is a member of Youfa Group and listed in Singapore, aiming at after-sale market. Wuxi Zhenfa is an Indonesian enterprise listed in Indonesia.

Currently, European and American manufacturers of aluminum wheels are at the verge of bankruptcy, for example, Hayes Lemmerz filed for bankruptcy on May 11, 2009. In German, the annual sales of the best-known enterprise — BBS was less than 8 million euros in 2008, declining 40% with huge losses. However, the situation will benefit Chinese enterprises, especially large enterprise like Citic Dicastal.

In Japan, the giants — CMW, ENKEI and TOPY cooperate with Toyota, Honda and Nissan respectively. Asahi Aluminum, Hitachi Metals and UBE that have smaller scale cooperate with Honda, Nissan and Mazda respectively. UBE has less than JPY10 billion. In German, the giants — BORBET, RONAL and UNIWHEEL are unlisted semi-private family enterprises with a history of one hundred years and they acquired a number of small manufacturers. The scale of UNIWHEEL is relatively smaller, but has much shares in after-market. BORBET and RONAL cooperate with BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Audi and Porsche. American SUPERIOR and Hayes Lemmerz are surviving difficultly.

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According to China Semiconductor Industry Association, the integrated circuit industry scale was totaled at CNY 124.682 billion in 2008, a reduction of 0.4% of last year, which was the first time that a negative growth occurred in the recent 20 years. Driven by the constant consumption upgrading and 2008 Beijing Olympic Games, the industry maintained a growth of 10.4% in the first half of 2008, 12.5% and 8.3% respectively in the first quarter and second quarter. However, the growth rate sharply declined to 1.1% in the third quarter, and a negative growth of -20% in the fourth quarter, which was the biggest quarterly drop in the recent 20 years.

Considering the policy, China’s semiconductor industry is currently in the dilemma, giving preferential policies will lead the issue of trade protectionism by the countries rely on semiconductor products export such as the U.S.A; if not, the Chinese companies will be more difficult to survive facing oversea competitors.

China is the largest IC market in the world, with a market scale at US $85 billion in 2008, but the market share of domestic suppliers was less than 7%. Although China is the global factory of electronics products, the orders and shipments are both controlled outside.

Considering the IC design, China has few of IC design houses like Solomon, Actions, Spreadtrum and Vimicro. The Solomon, derived from the LCD division of Motorola, relies on Motorola, lack of product innovations. Backed by the Realtek, the Actions is the world’s largest sound card manufacturer and has an outstanding performance in the digital audio field. Spreadtrum recorded a reduction of 50% in the fourth quarter of 2008, far higher than Mediatek. Protected by the huge domestic demand for PC camera, Vimicro stays steady; however, caused by its high labor cost, the company recorded successively operational loss in the last four quarters.

IC design sector suffered the most with the transfer of international financial crisis to the real economy, especially those newly established companies due to the break of their capital chain, venture investors also draw back, and the A-turn investment dropped 82% during 2000-2007. According to GSA, there were 74 companies shut down since Oct 2008, and most of which were small companies.

Nevertheless, the wafer OEM maintains a high expansion in China. Since its establishment in the year of 2000, SMIC has built productions in Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Chengdu, Wuhan and Guangzhou through M&A and trusteeship. In addition, guided by Shanghai Government, the Huahong Group acquired Grace Semiconductor at the beginning of 2009, along with an extra investment of US $2.2 billion for a 12-inch wafer plant. However, the fact is that SMIC has been recording a loss since its establishment.

The cost structure of semiconductor manufacturing is roughly as following: machine depreciation 50%, materials 20%, water & power 5% and labor 10%. For Chinese companies, only 15% of the cost can be controlled, while the part has been played to the full extent. Moreover, the unilateral understanding to scale has fettered their imaginations of strategy, which makes the semiconductor industry in the situation of unmerited scale.

In addition, the semiconductor industry is always protected by governments, dare not or unwilling to face with the market-oriented risk. The Chartered is a typical example.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>There are two typical development routes regarding the wafer OEM, one is represented by the TSMC: focus on the technology and high-profit business; the other is represented by the UMC: huge investment on IC design houses for the purpose of production capacity enhancement, for example the investment to MTK, Novatek and SIS are all proved successful. Novatek is the second largest IC design house in Taiwan, as well as the global second largest TFT-LCD drive IC manufacturer. MTK is the top mobile phone vendor and the 7th largest IC design house in the world, as well as the largest IC design house in Taiwan.

It is not enough to just invest a huge capital and the semiconductor industry also requires more input in the basic science and technology especially in China.

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This report described the status quo as well as the development trend of global and China RFID market, focus on the RFID applications.

According to IDTechEx, the global RFID market achieved rapid growth in the year of 2007, and its total market value reached US$ 4.92 billion. The huge FRID application into second generation ID cards has made China become the biggest RFID market in the world. Again, according to IDTechEx, global RFID market value will reach US$ 5.29 billion in the year of 2008, up 7.5% year on year. Impacted by financial crisis, global RFID market value will decline to US$ 5.24 billion in the year of 2009.

In China, along with the gradual expansion of RF chip, package, software/middleware and system integration, RFID market is developing rapidly. In the year of 2007, China’s RFID market value reached CNY 7.67 billion, up 21.4% year on year.

Influenced by the global financial crisis and sharp reduction of second generation ID card issuance, the year-on-year growth rate of China’s RFID market declined to 9.1% with a total market value of CNY 8.37 billion. Moreover, considering the extension of global crisis and saturation of second generation ID card market, China’s RFID market growth rate in the year of 2009 will continue its drop to 7.9% with a total market value about CNY 9.93 billion.

In China, FRID has shaped mature application mode in the fields such as access control, license anti-fake and electronic payment etc. Application in above fields are mainly concentrated in low-frequency and high-frequency. Large-scale application of ultrahigh- frequency is still waiting for a considerable development. However, considering government’s support over RFID, especially the ultrahigh-frequency FRID, plus the price declining of ultrahigh-frequency RFID, it is expected to be the mainstream by the year of 2013, although its overall market share was only 4.8% in the year of 2008.

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