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Chinas Cotton Market Analysis and Forecast Report (2010-2011)
Product ID : VSR-389-579
Published Date : Nov 2010

 

Overview:

The main characteristics of China’s cotton market in 2010 are as follows:

(1) China’s cotton planting acreage dropped to the lowest since 2003
(2) China allocated 3.562 million tons of cotton import quota, second only to 2006
(3) China’s cotton import significantly increases in 2010
(4) Cotton prices surge to the highest
(5) Spinning industry profit reached the highest since 2003

Why cotton prices increase greatly in 2010? How long dose high prices last? This report provides a systematical analysis from cotton industry policies, cotton production and trade, economic situations of textile industry, etc, in 2010. Based on these, this report also correctly forecasts the characteristics and trends of China’s cotton market in 2010. For those wanting to understand more about China’s cotton market, this report offers valuable, systemic, comprehensive and accurate references.  


Table Of Contents :

Part One: Analysis and Forecast of Cotton Industry Policies
1.1 China’s Macroeconomic Policies
1.1.1 Exchange Rate has Created New High Repeatedly since Reformation
1.1.2 People's Bank of China’s Raised Deposit-Reserve Ratio 5 times in 2010
1.1.3 Many Provinces Adjust up Minimum Wages, Imposing Big Impact on Textile and Apparel Industry
1.2 Cotton Import Policies
1.2.1 Allocation and Administration of Cotton Import Quotas
1.2.2 China Allocated 3.562 Million Tons of Cotton Import Quota
1.3 Analysis of Procurement and Auction Policies of Cotton Reserves
1.3.1 Transaction of Reserve Cotton Amounts to 1.003 Million Tons, Transaction Prices Rise Dramatically
1.3.2 After the Auction of Reserve Cotton, State Control Weakens
1.4 Forecast of 2011 Cotton Polices from China’s Government

Part Two: Analysis and Forecast of 2010 China’s Cotton Production
2.1 Characteristics and Variation in China’s Cotton Production
2.1.1 Distribution of China’s Cotton Producing Region
2.1.2 Slight Decrease in 2010 Cotton Planting Acreage
2.1.3 2010 Cotton Production Continued to Decrease
2.2 Analysis of Production Costs and Benefits of China’s Cotton
2.2.1 Variation in Production Costs and Benefits of China’s Cotton
2.2.2 Analysis of Production Costs and Benefits of Main Crops
2.2.3 Analysis of Production Costs and Benefits of Major Cotton Producing Provinces
2.2.4 Significant Increase in Net Profits of 2010 China’s Cotton Planting
2.3 2011 China’s Cotton Production to Recover

Part Three: Analysis and Forecast of 2010 China’s Cotton Trade
3.1 Characteristics of 2010 China’s Cotton Import
3.1.1 Significant Increase in China’s Cotton Import
3.1.2 Import Prices Rise Steeply
3.1.3 Cotton Imports through General Trade Increase Significantly, Accounting for More 40%
3.1.4 U.S. as Largest Cotton Import Origin Country, Cotton Imported from India Increases Significantly
3.1.5 Cotton Imports into Shandong and Jiangsu Accounts for about 60%
3.1.6 Analysis of Main Cotton Import Enterprises
3.2 Characteristics of 2010 China’s Cottn Export
3.3 Forecast of Trends for 2011 China’s Cotton Trade

Part Four: Analysis and Forecast of Economic Situations of China’s Textile Industry
4.1 Analysis and Forecast of 2010 China’s Yarn Production
4.1.1 Significant Increase in 2010 China’s Yarn Production
4.1.2 Yarn Production by Province
4.1.3 Distribution of China’s Cotton Spining Enterprises
4.1.4 Forecast of 2011China’s Yarn Production
4.2 Significant Increase in 2010 China’s Cotton Cloth Production
4.3 2010 China’s Cotton Yarn Imports Growth Higher than Exports
4.4 2010 China’s Cotton Cloth Net Exports Rise Steeply
4.5 Analysis and Forecast of China’s Textile and Apparel Export Characteristics
4.5.1 Significant Increase in 2010 Textile and Apparel Export Value
4.5.2 EU as Largest Export Destination, Export to Hong Kong Decline
4.5.3 Zhejiang, Guangdong and Jiangsu: Major Export Provinces
4.5.4 Forecast of Trends for 2011 Textile and Apparel Export

Part Five: Analysis and Forecast of 2010 China’s Cotton Market Prices
5.1 Variation in China’s Cotton Market Prices
5.1.1 Demestic Cotton Prices Continuously Increase Particularly Steep since September 2010
5.1.2 2010 Seed Cotton Prices Rise Largely
5.1.3 Variation in ZCE Cotton Futures Prices
5.1.4 Variation in CNCE E-Forward Market Price
5.1.5 Variation in ICE Cotton Futures Prices
5.2 Comparison Analysis between Domestic and Imported Cotton Prices
5.3 Comparison Analysis between Cotton Prices and Prices of Polyester Staple & Rayon Staple
5.4 Variation inYarn Prices of C32S, JC40S, TC45S and OE10S
5.5 Variation in 2010 Spinning Industry Profits
5.6 2011 Domestic and International Cotton Prices Still to Remain at a High Level
Part Six: Analysis and Forecast of 2010 China’s Cotton Supply-Demand Balance
6.1 China’s Cotton Ending Stocks Decrease Significantly in 2009/2010
6.2 China’s Cotton Ending Stocks to Decrease Further in 2010/2011

Attached Tables and Figures
Map 1, Distribution of China’s Cotton Production by Province
Map 2, Distribution of Cotton Import Enterprises
Map 3, Distribution of Cotton Spining Enterprises

Figure 1, Transaction Volume and Prices of 2010 Reserve Cotton
Figure 2, Distribution of Transaction Enterprises of 2010 Reserve Cotton
Figure 3, China’s Cotton Planting Acreage and Total Production, 1981-2010
Figure 4, China’s Cotton Yield, 1981-2010
Figure 5, China’s Cotton Planting Acreage by Region, 1981-2010
Figure 6, China’s Cotton Production by Region, 1981-2010
Figure 7, Total Costs of China’s Cotton Planting, 1990-2009
Figure 8, Costs and Benefits of China’s Cotton Planting, 1990-2009
Figure 9, Comparison of Net Profits of Wheat, Corn, Rice and Cotton, 1990-2009
Figure 10, China’s Cotton Import Volume & Increase Rate, 2000-2010
Figure 11, China’s Uncombed Cotton Import Volume by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 12, China’s Uncombed Cotton Import Prices, 2005-2010
Figure 13, Comparison of China’s Uncombed Cotton Imports by Mode, 2005-2010
Figure 14, 2010 China’s Uncombed Cotton Imports by Mode
Figure 15, Distribution of China’s Uncombed Cotton Imports by Major Original Country & Region, 2005-2010
Figure 16, 2010 China’s Uncombed Cotton Imports by Original Country
Figure 17, 2010 China’s Uncombed Cotton Imports by Province
Figure 18, China’s Cotton Export Volume & Increase Rate, 2000-2010
Figure 19, 2010 China’s Uncombed Cotton Exports by Country of Destination
Figure 20, China’s Yarn Production & Increase Rate, 1994-2010
Figure 21, Distribution of 2010 China’s Yarn Production
Figure 22, 2010 Yarn Production of Major Producing Provinces & Increase Rate
Figure 23, China’s Cotton Cloth Production & Increase Rate, 1999-2010
Figure 24, China’s Cotton Yarn Import and Export Volume, 1999-2010
Figure 25, China’s Cotton Cloth Import and Export Volume, 1999-2010
Figure 26, China’s Textile and Apparel Export Value & Increase Rate, 2002-2010
Figure 27, Distribution of 2010 China’s Textile and Apparel Exports by Country of Destination
Figure 28, 2010 China’s Textile and Apparel of Major Export Destination & Increase Rate
Figure 29, Distribution of 2010 China’s Textile and Apparel Exports by Province
Figure 30, 2010 China’s Textile and Apparel of Major Export Province & Increase Rate
Figure 31, China’s Cotton Prices, 2009-2010
Figure 32, Prices of Grade-328 Cotton in the Yellow River Region, 2009-2010
Figure 33, Prices of Grade-328 Cotton in the Northwest, 2009-2010
Figure 34, Prices of Grade-328 Cotton in the Yangtze Region, 2009-2010
Figure 35, Prices of 2010 Grade-3 Seed Cotton
Figure 36, Cotton Prices in CNCE, ZCE and ICE, 2009-2010
Figure 37, Comparison between FC Index M and CC Index 328
Figure 38, Comparison between Cotton Prices and Prices of Polyester Staple & Rayon Staple, 2008-2010
Figure 39, Yarn Prices of C32S, JC40S, TC45S and OE10S, 2008-2010
Figure 40, Spinning Industry Profits, 2007-2010

Table 1, Allocation and Utilization of Import Tariff Quota, 2000-2010
Table 2, Cotton Reserves for Each Purchase and Auction, 2006-2010
Table 3, China’s Cotton Planting Acreage by Region, 2001-2010
Table 4, China’s Cotton Production by Region, 2001-2010
Table 5, China’s Cotton Yield by Region, 2001-2010
Table 6, Planting Structure of Major Farm Crops in 2010 China’s Cotton-Growing Regions
Table 7, Planting Costs and Benefits of China’s Cotton, 2001-2009
Table 8, 2009 Costs and Benefits in Major Cotton Producing Regions
Table 9, 2009 Costs and Benefits of Wheat, Corn, Peanut and Cotton in Shandong
Table 10, 2009 Costs and Benefits of Rice, Wheat, Rapeseed and Cotton in Hubei
Table 11, 2009 Costs and Benefits of Corn, Wheat and Cotton in Xinjiang
Table 12, China’s Cotton Import Volume by Month, 2001-2010
Table 13, China’s Uncombed Cotton Import Volume by Mode, 2005-2010
Table 14, China’s Uncombed Cotton Import Volume by Original Country, 2001-2010
Table 15, China’s Uncombed Cotton Import Volume by Province, 2001-2010
Table 16, Import Volume of Top 100 Import Enterprises of Uncombed Cotton, 2005-2010
Table 17, China’s Uncombed Cotton Export Volume by Original Country, 2001-2010
Table 18, China’s Yarn Production by Province, 2001-2010
Table 19, 2010 China’s Cotton Yarn Import and Export Volume by Month
Table 20, 2010 China’s Cotton Cloth Import and Export Volume by Month
Table 21, 2010 China’s Textile and Apparel Export Value by Month
Table 22, 2010 China’s Textile and Apparel Import and Export Value by Province
Table 23, 2010 China’s Textile and Apparel Export Value by Country and Region
Table 24, China’s Cotton Supply and Demand, 2002/03-2010/11


Publisher : Beijing Shennong Agribusiness Consulting Co. Ltd (BSNABC)